Mount Baw Baw 7-Day Snow Forecast

Mount Baw Baw Long-Range Snow Forecast Updated today

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Updated 19 August 2026 01:43 NZST

Long-Range Snow Forecast for Mount Baw Baw

Long-range (14 to 45 days) from 18 August.

For Forecast detail, see below.

Mount Baw Baw Snow Forecast Highlights

When will there be fresh snow in Mount Baw Baw?

Mount Baw Baw Snow Forecast Highlights - ECMWF IFS
Snowfall prediction at mid-mountain (1,517m)
Next Snow Expected	1 September
Next Snow Amount	1cm
Next 48 Hours	-
Next 7 Days	-

Long-range Snow Outlook for Mount Baw Baw

Snowfall

Snow Line

Max 10℃
Min -4℃

Snow unlikely

Mount Baw Baw Long-Range (2 weeks+) Snow Forecast Outlook

Note :- Mountain weather is extremely dynamic; the forecast below will change. Any forecast snow may move forward or back in the forecast, and predicted snowfall depths will be revised in subsequent updates.

16 Day Weather and Snow Forecast for Mount Baw Baw from OpenMeteo(ECMWF IFS)
	Snow and Weather	Temp Town
Tue 18	Clear sky.	Max 10℃ Min 1℃
Wed 19	Light drizzle.	Max 6℃ Min 3℃
Thu 20	Fair.	Max 8℃ Min 2℃
Fri 21	Cloudy.	Max 6℃ Min -1℃
Sat 22	Cloudy.	Max 5℃ Min -2℃
Sun 23	Clear sky.	Max 9℃ Min -4℃
Mon 24	Cloudy.	Max 7℃ Min 0℃

This Snow Forecast for Mount Baw Baw, Australia gives the predicted Snowfall and Freezing Levels for the next week.

The forecast snowfall depths given are the likely average accumulations for the Lower and Upper slopes. The actual snow depth in Mount Baw Baw, on any given piste or itinerary, may be dramatically different, particularly if the snowfall is accompanied by high winds and/or varying air temperatures.

Snow Forecasts beyond two days ahead are subject to significant change and variable reliability.

Mount Baw Baw Snow Forecast updated at 01:43 NZST, next update expected imminently.

Ensemble forecast for Mount Baw Baw, Australia at 1,470m

Daily Mean Temperature (yellow line is control)

Daily Total Precipitation (blue line is control)

What are Forecast Ensembles ? Multiple forecasts from running the same weather model with slightly different inputs. The prominent line (the 'control') is the model output from standard inputs, the thinner lines are the variations. Plotted together, they show a range of possible outcomes; the closer they are, the higher the confidence.

How to read Long Range Ensemble Forecasts

These forecasts are from ECMWF EC46, a long-range, low-resolution (area) model. They may not accurately reflect local conditions and should be read as area forecasts, indicating whether the coming weeks are likely to be warmer, colder, wetter, or drier than average.

What to look for?

Temperatures trending downward at the same time as precipitation spikes upward... means snow!

Lines close together indicate a high confidence, while wider spreads signal uncertainty.

Snow Reliability

Mount Baw Baw typically sees a snow depth of around 60 to 100 cm during the season, with regular snowfall. For the latest snow conditions, check J2Ski for up-to-date information.

Off-Piste Safety in Mount Baw Baw

Before skiing or snowboarding off-piste in Mount Baw Baw, you must assess the local snow conditions. Always check the local Avalanche Risk Level and ski with appropriate safety equipment.