Shahdag 7-Day Snow Forecast

Shahdag Long-Range Snow Forecast Updated today

ECMWF IFS

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Updated 21 March 2026 13:48 NZDT

Long-Range Snow Forecast for Shahdag

Long-range (14 to 45 days) from 21 March.

For Forecast detail, see below.

Shahdag Snow Forecast Highlights

When will there be fresh snow in Shahdag?

Shahdag Snow Forecast Highlights - ECMWF IFS
Snowfall prediction at mid-mountain (1,994m)
Next Snow Expected	31 March
Next Snow Amount	2cm
Next 48 Hours	-
Next 7 Days	-

Long-range Snow Outlook for Shahdag

Snowfall

Snow Line

Max 9℃
Min -2℃

1cm New Snow

Snow Line from 2,158m to resort level (1,435m).

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Shahdag Long-Range (2 weeks+) Snow Forecast Outlook

Note :- Mountain weather is extremely dynamic; the forecast below will change. Any forecast snow may move forward or back in the forecast, and predicted snowfall depths will be revised in subsequent updates.

16 Day Weather and Snow Forecast for Shahdag from OpenMeteo(ECMWF IFS)
	Snow and Weather	Temp Town
Sat 21	Cloudy at altitude, fair below.	Max 7℃ Min -1℃
Sun 22	Light snow at altitude, light rain below.	Max 6℃ Min 0℃
Mon 23	Cloudy.	Max 6℃ Min 1℃
Tue 24	Cloudy.	Max 9℃ Min -2℃
Wed 25	Snow showers at altitude, rain showers below.	Max 8℃ Min 1℃
Thu 26	up to 1cm New Snow Cloudy. Snow Line from 2,081m to 1,912m, with rain below.	Max 9℃ Min 0℃
Fri 27	Light snow at altitude, light drizzle below.	Max 7℃ Min 4℃

This Snow Forecast for Shahdag, Azerbaijan gives the predicted Snowfall and Freezing Levels for the next week.

The forecast snowfall depths given are the likely average accumulations for the Lower and Upper slopes. The actual snow depth in Shahdag, on any given piste or itinerary, may be dramatically different, particularly if the snowfall is accompanied by high winds and/or varying air temperatures.

Snow Forecasts beyond two days ahead are subject to significant change and variable reliability.

Shahdag Snow Forecast updated at 13:48 NZDT, next update expected 19:00 NZDT.

Ensemble forecast for Shahdag, Azerbaijan at 1,435m

Daily Mean Temperature (yellow line is control)

Daily Total Precipitation (blue line is control)

What are Forecast Ensembles ? Multiple forecasts from running the same weather model with slightly different inputs. The prominent line (the 'control') is the model output from standard inputs, the thinner lines are the variations. Plotted together, they show a range of possible outcomes; the closer they are, the higher the confidence.

How to read Long Range Ensemble Forecasts

These forecasts are from ECMWF EC46, a long-range, low-resolution (area) model. They may not accurately reflect local conditions and should be read as area forecasts, indicating whether the coming weeks are likely to be warmer, colder, wetter, or drier than average.

What to look for?

Temperatures trending downward at the same time as precipitation spikes upward... means snow!

Lines close together indicate a high confidence, while wider spreads signal uncertainty.

Snow Reliability

Shahdag is known for its consistent snow conditions, typically featuring a snow depth of around 1 to 2 meters. With ample snowfall from December to March, skiers should check J2Ski for the latest snow reports.

Off-Piste Safety in Shahdag

Before skiing or snowboarding off-piste in Shahdag, you must assess the local snow conditions. Always check the local Avalanche Risk Level and ski with appropriate safety equipment.