Mount Pakenham 7-Day Snow Forecast

Mount Pakenham Long-Range Snow Forecast Updated today

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Updated 21 June 2026 01:44 NZST

Long-Range Snow Forecast for Mount Pakenham

Long-range (14 to 45 days) from 21 June.

For Forecast detail, see below.

Mount Pakenham Snow Forecast Highlights

When will there be fresh snow in Mount Pakenham?

Mount Pakenham Snow Forecast Highlights - GEM
Snowfall prediction at mid-mountain (180m)
Next Snow?
There is no snow currently in the forecast for Mount Pakenham.

Long-range Snow Outlook for Mount Pakenham

Snowfall

Snow Line

Max 24℃
Min 12℃

Snow unlikely

Mount Pakenham Long-Range (2 weeks+) Snow Forecast Outlook

Note :- Mountain weather is extremely dynamic; the forecast below will change. Any forecast snow may move forward or back in the forecast, and predicted snowfall depths will be revised in subsequent updates.

16 Day Weather and Snow Forecast for Mount Pakenham from OpenMeteo(GEM)
	Snow and Weather	Temp Town
Sun 21	Rain showers.	Max 24℃ Min 14℃
Mon 22	Fair.	Max 24℃ Min 12℃
Tue 23	Clear sky.	Max 24℃ Min 14℃
Wed 24	Clear sky.	Max 24℃ Min 14℃
Thu 25	Light rain showers.	Max 21℃ Min 16℃
Fri 26	Light drizzle.	Max 20℃ Min 15℃
Sat 27	Clear sky.	Max 24℃ Min 14℃

No significant snowfall is forecast for this period.

This Snow Forecast for Mount Pakenham, Canada gives the predicted Snowfall and Freezing Levels for the next week.

The forecast snowfall depths given are the likely average accumulations for the Lower and Upper slopes. The actual snow depth in Mount Pakenham, on any given piste or itinerary, may be dramatically different, particularly if the snowfall is accompanied by high winds and/or varying air temperatures.

Snow Forecasts beyond two days ahead are subject to significant change and variable reliability.

Mount Pakenham Snow Forecast updated at 01:44 NZST, next update expected imminently.

Ensemble forecast for Mount Pakenham, Canada at 137m

Daily Mean Temperature (yellow line is control)

Daily Total Precipitation (blue line is control)

What are Forecast Ensembles ? Multiple forecasts from running the same weather model with slightly different inputs. The prominent line (the 'control') is the model output from standard inputs, the thinner lines are the variations. Plotted together, they show a range of possible outcomes; the closer they are, the higher the confidence.

How to read Long Range Ensemble Forecasts

These forecasts are from ECMWF EC46, a long-range, low-resolution (area) model. They may not accurately reflect local conditions and should be read as area forecasts, indicating whether the coming weeks are likely to be warmer, colder, wetter, or drier than average.

What to look for?

Temperatures trending downward at the same time as precipitation spikes upward... means snow!

Lines close together indicate a high confidence, while wider spreads signal uncertainty.

Snow Reliability

Mount Pakenham typically enjoys consistent snowfall with an average snow depth of 30-50 cm throughout the season. For the latest snow conditions, visit J2Ski for up-to-date information.

Off-Piste Safety in Mount Pakenham

Before skiing or snowboarding off-piste in Mount Pakenham, you must assess the local snow conditions. Always check the local Avalanche Risk Level and ski with appropriate safety equipment.