Manganui 7-Day Snow Forecast

Manganui Long-Range Snow Forecast Updated today

ECMWF IFS

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Updated 12 October 2026 08:45 NZDT

Long-Range Snow Forecast for Manganui

Long-range (14 to 45 days) from 11 October.

For Forecast detail, see below.

Manganui Snow Forecast Highlights

When will there be fresh snow in Manganui?

Manganui Snow Forecast Highlights - ECMWF IFS
Snowfall prediction at mid-mountain (1,470m)
Next Snow Expected	16 October
Next Snow Amount	4cm
Next 48 Hours	-
Next 7 Days	5cm

Long-range Snow Outlook for Manganui

Snowfall

Snow Line

Max 14℃
Min -1℃

8cm New Snow

Snow Line from 1,383m to resort level (1,260m).

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Manganui Long-Range (2 weeks+) Snow Forecast Outlook

Note :- Mountain weather is extremely dynamic; the forecast below will change. Any forecast snow may move forward or back in the forecast, and predicted snowfall depths will be revised in subsequent updates.

16 Day Weather and Snow Forecast for Manganui from OpenMeteo(ECMWF IFS)
	Snow and Weather	Temp Town
Sun 11	Drizzle.	Max 8℃ Min 6℃
Mon 12	Clear sky.	Max 14℃ Min 4℃
Tue 13	Drizzle.	Max 9℃ Min 6℃
Wed 14	Rain showers.	Max 9℃ Min 7℃
Thu 15	Light snow.	Max 7℃ Min 1℃
Fri 16	3cm to 7cm New Snow Light snow. Snow Line from 1,322m to resort level (1,260m).	Max 2℃ Min -1℃
Sat 17	1cm New Snow Light snow. Snow falling to resort level (1,260m).	Max 4℃ Min -1℃

This Snow Forecast for Manganui, New Zealand gives the predicted Snowfall and Freezing Levels for the next week.

The forecast snowfall depths given are the likely average accumulations for the Lower and Upper slopes. The actual snow depth in Manganui, on any given piste or itinerary, may be dramatically different, particularly if the snowfall is accompanied by high winds and/or varying air temperatures.

Snow Forecasts beyond two days ahead are subject to significant change and variable reliability.

Manganui Snow Forecast updated at 08:45 NZDT, next update expected 14:00 NZDT.

Ensemble forecast for Manganui, New Zealand at 1,260m

Daily Mean Temperature (yellow line is control)

Daily Total Precipitation (blue line is control)

What are Forecast Ensembles ? Multiple forecasts from running the same weather model with slightly different inputs. The prominent line (the 'control') is the model output from standard inputs, the thinner lines are the variations. Plotted together, they show a range of possible outcomes; the closer they are, the higher the confidence.

How to read Long Range Ensemble Forecasts

These forecasts are from ECMWF EC46, a long-range, low-resolution (area) model. They may not accurately reflect local conditions and should be read as area forecasts, indicating whether the coming weeks are likely to be warmer, colder, wetter, or drier than average.

What to look for?

Temperatures trending downward at the same time as precipitation spikes upward... means snow!

Lines close together indicate a high confidence, while wider spreads signal uncertainty.

New Zealand Accommodation (Apartments, Chalets, Hotels) Map

How reliable is the snow in Manganui?

Manganui is known for its reliable snow conditions, typically featuring a snow depth of 1-3 meters and consistent snowfall throughout the season. For the latest updates on snow conditions, visit J2Ski.

Off-Piste Safety in Manganui

Before skiing or snowboarding off-piste in Manganui, you must assess the local snow conditions. Always check the local Avalanche Risk Level and ski with appropriate safety equipment.