Mount Cheeseman 7-Day Snow Forecast

Mount Cheeseman Long-Range Snow Forecast Updated today

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Updated 04 September 2026 12:47 NZST

Long-Range Snow Forecast for Mount Cheeseman

Long-range (14 to 45 days) from 4 September.

For Forecast detail, see below.

Mount Cheeseman Snow Forecast Highlights

When will there be fresh snow in Mount Cheeseman?

Mount Cheeseman Snow Forecast Highlights - ECMWF IFS
Snowfall prediction at mid-mountain (1,707m)
Next Snow Expected	5 September
Next Snow Amount	1cm
Next 48 Hours	18cm
Next 7 Days	30cm

Long-range Snow Outlook for Mount Cheeseman

Snowfall

Snow Line

Max 4℃
Min -10℃

31cm New Snow

Snow Line from 1,648m to resort level (1,540m).

Powder Alert!

Powder Alarm issued 04 September 2026 18:45 NZST

Powder Possible :- 18cm of Fresh Snow is forecast for Mount Cheeseman over the next 2 days.

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Mount Cheeseman Long-Range (2 weeks+) Snow Forecast Outlook

Note :- Mountain weather is extremely dynamic; the forecast below will change. Any forecast snow may move forward or back in the forecast, and predicted snowfall depths will be revised in subsequent updates.

16 Day Weather and Snow Forecast for Mount Cheeseman from OpenMeteo(ECMWF IFS)
	Snow and Weather	Temp Town
Fri 04	1cm New Snow Light snow. Snow falling to resort level (1,540m).	Max 2℃ Min -2℃
Sat 05	up to 2cm New Snow Light snow. Snow Line from 1,648m to resort level (1,540m).	Max 3℃ Min -3℃
Sun 06	15cm to 17cm New Snow Snow showers. Snow Line from 1,586m to resort level (1,540m).	Max 4℃ Min -3℃
Mon 07	7cm New Snow Snow showers. Snow falling to resort level (1,540m).	Max -1℃ Min -4℃
Tue 08	Cloudy.	Max 2℃ Min -7℃
Wed 09	1cm New Snow Light snow showers. Snow falling to resort level (1,540m).	Max 2℃ Min -5℃
Thu 10	4cm New Snow Light snow showers. Snow falling to resort level (1,540m).	Max -2℃ Min -10℃

This Snow Forecast for Mount Cheeseman, New Zealand gives the predicted Snowfall and Freezing Levels for the next week.

The forecast snowfall depths given are the likely average accumulations for the Lower and Upper slopes. The actual snow depth in Mount Cheeseman, on any given piste or itinerary, may be dramatically different, particularly if the snowfall is accompanied by high winds and/or varying air temperatures.

Snow Forecasts beyond two days ahead are subject to significant change and variable reliability.

Mount Cheeseman Snow Forecast updated at 12:47 NZST, next update expected imminently.

Ensemble forecast for Mount Cheeseman, New Zealand at 1,540m

Daily Mean Temperature (yellow line is control)

Daily Total Precipitation (blue line is control)

What are Forecast Ensembles ? Multiple forecasts from running the same weather model with slightly different inputs. The prominent line (the 'control') is the model output from standard inputs, the thinner lines are the variations. Plotted together, they show a range of possible outcomes; the closer they are, the higher the confidence.

How to read Long Range Ensemble Forecasts

These forecasts are from ECMWF EC46, a long-range, low-resolution (area) model. They may not accurately reflect local conditions and should be read as area forecasts, indicating whether the coming weeks are likely to be warmer, colder, wetter, or drier than average.

What to look for?

Temperatures trending downward at the same time as precipitation spikes upward... means snow!

Lines close together indicate a high confidence, while wider spreads signal uncertainty.

Snow Forecast near Mount Cheeseman

Snow Forecasts for Ski Resorts near Mount Cheeseman
Ski Area	48 Hr	7 Day
Temple Basin	30cm	50cm
Broken River	11cm	16cm
Craigieburn	21cm	30cm

Snow Reliability

Mount Cheeseman typically enjoys reliable snow conditions, with an average snowfall of 3-5 meters each season. For the latest snow reports and conditions, check J2Ski for up-to-date information.

Off-Piste Safety in Mount Cheeseman

Before skiing or snowboarding off-piste in Mount Cheeseman, you must assess the local snow conditions. Always check the local Avalanche Risk Level and ski with appropriate safety equipment.