Shanty Creek 7-Day Snow Forecast

Shanty Creek Long-Range Snow Forecast Updated today

ECMWF IFS

GEM

GFS

PROSubscribe to Switch Weather Model

Updated 12 September 2026 23:47 NZST

Long-Range Snow Forecast for Shanty Creek

Long-range (14 to 45 days) from 12 September.

For Forecast detail, see below.

Shanty Creek Snow Forecast Highlights

When will there be fresh snow in Shanty Creek?

Shanty Creek Snow Forecast Highlights - GFS
Snowfall prediction at mid-mountain (275m)
Next Snow?
There is no snow currently in the forecast for Shanty Creek.

Long-range Snow Outlook for Shanty Creek

Snowfall

Snow Line

Max 35℃
Min 19℃

Snow unlikely

Partner Offers

Shanty Creek Long-Range (2 weeks+) Snow Forecast Outlook

Note :- Mountain weather is extremely dynamic; the forecast below will change. Any forecast snow may move forward or back in the forecast, and predicted snowfall depths will be revised in subsequent updates.

16 Day Weather and Snow Forecast for Shanty Creek from OpenMeteo(GFS)
	Snow and Weather	Temp Town
Sat 12	Cloudy.	Max 28℃ Min 23℃
Sun 13	Clear sky.	Max 32℃ Min 23℃
Mon 14	Clear sky.	Max 35℃ Min 22℃
Tue 15	Cloudy.	Max 33℃ Min 22℃
Wed 16	Clear sky.	Max 33℃ Min 21℃
Thu 17	Rain showers.	Max 32℃ Min 19℃
Fri 18	Cloudy.	Max 34℃ Min 21℃

No significant snowfall is forecast for this period.

This Snow Forecast for Shanty Creek, United States gives the predicted Snowfall and Freezing Levels for the next week.

The forecast snowfall depths given are the likely average accumulations for the Lower and Upper slopes. The actual snow depth in Shanty Creek, on any given piste or itinerary, may be dramatically different, particularly if the snowfall is accompanied by high winds and/or varying air temperatures.

Snow Forecasts beyond two days ahead are subject to significant change and variable reliability.

Shanty Creek Snow Forecast updated at 23:47 NZST, next update expected 05:00 NZST.

Ensemble forecast for Shanty Creek, USA at 206m

Daily Mean Temperature (yellow line is control)

Daily Total Precipitation (blue line is control)

What are Forecast Ensembles ? Multiple forecasts from running the same weather model with slightly different inputs. The prominent line (the 'control') is the model output from standard inputs, the thinner lines are the variations. Plotted together, they show a range of possible outcomes; the closer they are, the higher the confidence.

How to read Long Range Ensemble Forecasts

These forecasts are from ECMWF EC46, a long-range, low-resolution (area) model. They may not accurately reflect local conditions and should be read as area forecasts, indicating whether the coming weeks are likely to be warmer, colder, wetter, or drier than average.

What to look for?

Temperatures trending downward at the same time as precipitation spikes upward... means snow!

Lines close together indicate a high confidence, while wider spreads signal uncertainty.

Snow Reliability

Shanty Creek typically enjoys a reliable snow depth of 70-100 inches annually, with peak snowfall occurring in December and January. For the latest snow conditions, visit J2Ski for up-to-date information.

Off-Piste Safety in Shanty Creek

Before skiing or snowboarding off-piste in Shanty Creek, you must assess the local snow conditions. Always check the local Avalanche Risk Level and ski with appropriate safety equipment.